Preseason Rankings
Green Bay
Horizon
2019-20
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.3#167
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace82.1#10
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+1.9#119
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-2.1#231
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.3% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 11.9% 23.4% 11.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.3% 2.3% 0.3%
Average Seed 13.9 12.5 14.0
.500 or above 49.9% 77.6% 48.9%
.500 or above in Conference 68.5% 84.6% 67.9%
Conference Champion 13.6% 26.6% 13.1%
Last Place in Conference 4.4% 1.3% 4.5%
First Four1.0% 1.4% 1.0%
First Round11.4% 22.5% 11.0%
Second Round1.3% 3.7% 1.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.3% 0.7% 0.3%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.4% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.4% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Purdue (Away) - 3.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 4
Quad 21 - 31 - 7
Quad 34 - 66 - 12
Quad 49 - 315 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2019 12   @ Purdue L 70-89 4%    
  Nov 13, 2019 92   @ New Mexico L 86-94 23%    
  Nov 21, 2019 33   @ Wisconsin L 65-80 9%    
  Nov 25, 2019 208   Cal St. Northridge W 90-84 69%    
  Nov 26, 2019 127   Colgate W 81-80 51%    
  Nov 30, 2019 279   @ Montana St. W 88-85 62%    
  Dec 04, 2019 23   @ Xavier L 70-86 8%    
  Dec 07, 2019 255   @ Eastern Illinois W 81-79 57%    
  Dec 10, 2019 94   @ Central Florida L 71-79 25%    
  Dec 14, 2019 182   Evansville W 83-78 65%    
  Dec 21, 2019 147   @ Northern Illinois L 77-81 36%    
  Dec 28, 2019 103   @ Wright St. L 73-80 27%    
  Dec 30, 2019 133   @ Northern Kentucky L 79-84 34%    
  Jan 03, 2020 131   Illinois-Chicago W 84-83 53%    
  Jan 05, 2020 253   IUPUI W 86-78 74%    
  Jan 11, 2020 250   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 82-74 74%    
  Jan 16, 2020 201   Oakland W 85-80 67%    
  Jan 18, 2020 219   Detroit Mercy W 89-83 69%    
  Jan 23, 2020 311   @ Cleveland St. W 85-79 68%    
  Jan 25, 2020 225   @ Youngstown St. W 84-83 50%    
  Jan 31, 2020 133   Northern Kentucky W 82-81 53%    
  Feb 02, 2020 103   Wright St. L 76-77 46%    
  Feb 06, 2020 253   @ IUPUI W 83-81 55%    
  Feb 08, 2020 131   @ Illinois-Chicago L 81-86 34%    
  Feb 15, 2020 250   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 79-77 55%    
  Feb 21, 2020 219   @ Detroit Mercy L 86-87 50%    
  Feb 23, 2020 201   @ Oakland L 82-83 47%    
  Feb 27, 2020 225   Youngstown St. W 86-80 70%    
  Feb 29, 2020 311   Cleveland St. W 88-76 83%    
Projected Record 14 - 15 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.5 2.1 3.4 3.8 2.4 1.0 0.3 13.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.3 3.9 5.0 3.0 1.0 0.2 14.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.8 4.9 5.0 1.9 0.3 0.0 14.1 3rd
4th 0.3 2.2 5.3 4.3 1.2 0.1 0.0 13.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.3 5.0 3.4 0.8 0.0 11.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.1 4.7 2.8 0.6 0.0 10.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 1.8 3.8 2.1 0.4 0.0 8.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 1.7 2.5 1.6 0.2 0.0 6.4 8th
9th 0.1 0.6 1.5 1.4 0.9 0.1 4.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.0 2.5 10th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.5 2.5 3.8 5.5 7.9 9.6 10.6 11.2 11.3 10.7 9.1 6.8 4.8 2.6 1.0 0.3 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.3    0.3
17-1 100.0% 1.0    0.9 0.0
16-2 93.6% 2.4    2.0 0.4 0.0
15-3 79.8% 3.8    2.6 1.1 0.1
14-4 50.3% 3.4    1.8 1.4 0.2 0.0
13-5 22.8% 2.1    0.7 0.8 0.5 0.0
12-6 4.7% 0.5    0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 13.6% 13.6 8.6 3.9 1.0 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.3% 74.4% 55.6% 18.9% 9.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 42.4%
17-1 1.0% 56.5% 49.6% 6.9% 11.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4 13.6%
16-2 2.6% 44.9% 40.6% 4.4% 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.4 7.3%
15-3 4.8% 33.4% 32.3% 1.0% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 3.2 1.5%
14-4 6.8% 26.7% 26.7% 0.0% 13.6 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.3 0.0 5.0 0.0%
13-5 9.1% 20.1% 20.1% 14.1 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.6 0.1 7.3
12-6 10.7% 15.2% 15.2% 14.5 0.0 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.3 9.0
11-7 11.3% 10.1% 10.1% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.3 10.2
10-8 11.2% 7.3% 7.3% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 10.4
9-9 10.6% 5.3% 5.3% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 10.1
8-10 9.6% 3.7% 3.7% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 9.2
7-11 7.9% 2.0% 2.0% 15.8 0.0 0.1 7.7
6-12 5.5% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 0.1 5.4
5-13 3.8% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 3.8
4-14 2.5% 2.5
3-15 1.5% 1.5
2-16 0.6% 0.6
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 11.9% 11.6% 0.3% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 1.3 2.5 3.0 2.7 1.8 88.1 0.3%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%